DECEMBER 26, 2019

NEWS AND VIEWS


THIS IS GOING TO BE A BIG ONE. THIS REPUBLICAN TOOK $21,500 AND $4,000 IN SEPARATE CHECKS FOR HIS CAMPAIGN AND NOW, MIRACULOUSLY, THE FAMILY’S SON HAS BEEN PARDONED ON A SEXUAL ASSAULT OF A NINE YEAR OLD GIRL.

FBI reportedly interested in Bevin’s scandalous pardons in Kentucky
12/26/19 08:40 AM—UPDATED 12/26/19 11:13 AM
By Steve Benen

PHOTOGRAPH -- Kentucky Gov. Matt Bevin speaks during the Indiana Republican Party Spring Dinner, April 21, 2016, in Indianapolis. Photo by Darron Cummings/AP

After narrowly losing his re-election bid last month, Kentucky’s then-governor, Republican Matt Bevin, turned his attention to criminal-justice issues, issuing hundreds of controversial pardons and commutations, benefiting a wide range of convicted criminals, including murderers and a man convicted of raping a child.

A local prosecutor called Bevin’s actions “an absolute atrocity of justice,” which put Kentucky residents “in danger.”

But prosecutors weren’t the only ones alarmed by the former governor’s intervention in so many cases. It appears the FBI has also decided to take a closer look at Bevin’s actions. The Courier Journal in Louisville reported this week:

The FBI is asking questions about the pardons Matt Bevin issued during his last weeks as Kentucky governor, The Courier Journal has learned.

State Rep. Chris Harris, D-Forest Hills, told reporters that a criminal investigator contacted him last week and asked what he knew about Bevin’s pardons…. Two sources with knowledge of the inquiry told The Courier Journal on Monday that an FBI agent had spoken with Harris.

The FBI is asking questions about the pardons Matt Bevin issued during his last weeks as Kentucky governor, The Courier Journal has learned.

State Rep. Chris Harris, D-Forest Hills, told reporters that a criminal investigator contacted him last week and asked what he knew about Bevin’s pardons…. Two sources with knowledge of the inquiry told The Courier Journal on Monday that an FBI agent had spoken with Harris.

Bevin did not comment when asked about the FBI’s reported interest. The Kentucky Republican last week, however, tried to defend some of his more scandalous decisions, saying he commuted the sentence of a man convicted of raping a young girl in part because the girl’s hymen was “intact.” (In a study published in June in Reproductive Health journal, the authors wrote, “An examination of the hymen is not an accurate or reliable test of a previous history of sexual activity, including sexual assault. Clinicians tasked with performing forensic sexual assault examinations should avoid descriptions such as ‘intact hymen’ or ‘broken hymen’ in all cases.”)

As for which case – or cases – might be of interest to the FBI, it’s difficult to say without more information, though one pardon stood out as an example of possible corruption. NBC News reported:

Bevin pardoned Patrick Brian Baker, who was convicted of reckless homicide and other crimes in a fatal 2014 home break-in in Knox County. Prosecutors say Baker and another man posed as police officers to gain entry to Donald Mills’ home, and Mills was shot in front of his wife.

Baker’s family raised $21,500 at a political fundraiser last year for Bevin, and Baker’s brother and sister-in-law also gave $4,000 to Bevin’s re-election campaign on the day of the fundraiser, the Courier Journal reported.

The FBI wouldn’t scrutinize a governor’s misguided judgment or even pardons that threaten public safety. But possible corruption is another matter entirely.



YOU HAVE TO GO TO THE WEBSITE TO APPRECIATE THIS.

Progressive news site airs Yule log-style 'Trumpster Fire' for Christmas Eve
BY BROOKE SEIPEL - 12/24/19 06:05 PM EST

SCREENSHOT – TRUMPSTER FIRE   Progressive news site airs Yule log-style 'Trumpster Fire' for Christmas Eve
© Screenshot NowThis
[SCROLL DOWN FOR THE VIDEO.]

Progressive news site NowThis aired a Facebook livestream on Tuesday of what it called a "Trumpster Fire" — a video in the style of a Yule log showing a dumpster on fire with "Trump" written on the side.

"TRUMPSTER FIRE: Whether you're celebrating Chanukah, Christmas, or impeachment, come warm yourself by the glow of this Trump dumpster fire. Share the joy with your friends and family, and Happy Holidays to all, even the haters and losers," NowThis wrote in its caption for the video.

Christmas music can be heard playing in the background as the camera focuses on the burning dumpster. The scene has been edited to include digital snow falling.

NowThis wrote that the video was from Revolution Messaging, a digital agency that works with political groups. The company first posted the video three years ago as part of a fundraiser. That video has been viewed more than 10,000 times on YouTube.

Videos of Yule logs burning in fireplaces are commonly shared during the holidays, often featuring Christmas music or other festive elements.

As of 6 p.m. ET on Christmas Eve, the NowThis video had been viewed hundreds of thousands of times.



NOW THIS ARTICLE REALLY TURNS ME ON.

Bannon on Republican party: 'We've got to find our AOCs'
BY MARTY JOHNSON - 12/17/19 12:48 PM EST

PHOTOGRAPH – STEVE BANNON

Former chief Trump strategist Stephen Bannon is urging the GOP to "find our AOCs," referring to liberal freshman Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.), to help the party better serve working-class voters.

“We’ve turned the Republican Party into a working-class party,” the former Breitbart News executive chairman told The Guardian in a sit-down interview published Tuesday.

“Now, interestingly, we don’t have any elected representatives who believe that, but that’s a legacy issue. We’ll get over that," he added. "We’ve got to find our AOCs.”

Ocasio-Cortez, a 30-year-old former bartender from the Bronx, was elected to Congress in 2018 after running a strong grassroots campaign and defeating a powerful establishment Democrat in the race's primary.

Bannon said that Democrats had "better casting” in last year's midterms, leading to the party regaining control in the House.

“They did an amazing job in '18. I keep saying I admire AOC," he said.

"I think her ideology’s all f----d up, but I want her. I want to recruit bartenders. I don’t want to recruit any more lawyers. I want bartenders.”

Bannon also credited now-Democratic presidential candidate Michael Bloomberg for the Democrats' successful midterms after the former New York mayor put $110 million into his political action committee and 21 out of 24 candidates that he supported won their races.

In 2017, Bannon left his post at the White House as one of the changes brought on by then-chief of staff John Kelly. The former Breitbart News chief has remained a vocal supporter of President Trump since leaving his administration. 


IT INTERESTS ME THAT SO MANY SEMI-POSITIVE ARTICLES ON SANDERS ARE POPPING UP IN THE LAST FEW DAYS. IS IT BECAUSE BUTTIGIEG IS NOT TURNING OUT TO BE QUITE AS VIABLE A GIANT KILLER AS THE POWERS THAT BE HAD HOPED? SAME QUESTION ABOUT WARREN. BIDEN IS STILL VERY LIKELY TO BE THE NOMINEE, OF COURSE, BUT HE TOO HAS BEEN A LITTLE BIT EMBARRASSING IN SEVERAL WAYS. EVEN SOME IN  THE INNER HEART OF THE PARTY ARE ACTUALLY SAYING THAT THEY COULD SUPPORT BERNIE, IF HE IS NOMINATED.

YES, IF HE VISIBLY BEATS THE PANTS OFF OF THEIR HANDPICKED CHOSEN ONE IN THE POLLS, THE DNC WOULD PROBABLY HAVE TO NOMINATE HIM, OR FURTHER DIMINISH THE RESPECT THAT THOSE OF US WHO HAVE BEEN ON THEIR SIDE FOR SO LONG HAVE LOYALLY HELD. I KNOW I, FOR ONE, AM NOTICEABLY LESS LOYAL TO THE PARTY AT THIS POINT, AS I DON'T EXPECT THEM TO REALLY CHANGE. I THOUGHT THEY STOOD FOR GOOD, BUT INSTEAD THEY STAND FOR PERSONAL ENRICHMENT JUST LIKE THE REPUBLICANS, THOUGH NOT TO QUITE AS EXTREME A DEGREE.

Democratic insiders: Bernie could win the nomination
His resiliency in the primary has caught the attention of the party establishment.
By HOLLY OTTERBEIN and DAVID SIDERS
12/26/2019 05:04 AM EST

PHOTOGRAPH -- Sen. Bernie Sanders.

Suddenly, Bernie Sanders’ presidential campaign is being taken seriously.

For months, the Vermont senator was written off by Democratic Party insiders as a candidate with a committed but narrow base who was too far left to win the primary. Elizabeth Warren had skyrocketed in the polls and seemed to be leaving him behind in the race to be progressive voters’ standard-bearer in 2020.

But in the past few weeks, something has changed. In private conversations and on social media, Democratic officials, political operatives and pundits are reconsidering Sanders’ chances.

“It may have been inevitable that eventually you would have two candidates representing each side of the ideological divide in the party. A lot of smart people I’ve talked to lately think there’s a very good chance those two end up being Biden and Sanders,” said David Brock, a longtime Hillary Clinton ally who founded a pro-Clinton super PAC in the 2016 campaign. “They’ve both proven to be very resilient.”

Democratic insiders said they are rethinking Sanders’ bid for a few reasons: First, Warren has recently fallen in national and early state surveys. Second, Sanders has withstood the ups and downs of the primary, including a heart attack. At the same time, other candidates with once-high expectations, such as Kamala Harris, Cory Booker and Beto O’Rourke, have dropped out or languished in single digits in the polls.

“I believe people should take him very seriously. He has a very good shot of winning Iowa, a very good shot of winning New Hampshire, and other than Joe Biden, the best shot of winning Nevada,” said Dan Pfeiffer, who served as an adviser to former President Barack Obama. “He could build a real head of steam heading into South Carolina and Super Tuesday.”

The durability of Sanders’ candidacy has come as a surprise even in some states where he performed strongly in 2016 and where he is attempting to improve his standing ahead of the 2020 election.

California state Sen. Scott Wiener, who defeated a Sanders-backed Democrat for his seat in the liberal-heavy San Francisco area in 2016, said Sanders has been “more resilient than I anticipated.”

“But in retrospect,” he added, “he has a very, very loyal following, and people have really stuck with him.”

Sanders is in second place in national polls, nearly 9 percentage points behind Biden, according to the most recent RealClearPolitics average. He is second in Iowa and first in New Hampshire. The latest CNN poll found he has the highest net favorability rating of any Democratic presidential candidate.

While Sanders’ supporters complain relentlessly that he has received less attention from the media than other candidates, he has also avoided sustained criticism that some of his rivals have suffered. That could be helping him, especially compared with Warren, who has recently come under fire from the left and center for her health care plan.

“If you really think about it, Bernie hasn’t been hit a lot with anything. It’s not like he’s getting hit by other campaigns,” said Michael Ceraso, a former New Hampshire director for Pete Buttigieg’s campaign who worked for Sanders in 2016.

“You sort of take for granted that he, like Biden, are institutional figures for very different reasons,” Ceraso said. “Early in the campaign, Bernie’s people said, ‘Look, this guy in these early states has a nice hold, and there’s a percentage of supporters, a quarter of the electorate will potentially go for him.'” He added, “It waned a little bit because people were looking at other options … and now they’re saying, ‘Wait a minute, this guy has been the most consistent of anyone.'”

At the beginning of the year — another high point for Sanders’ campaign, before Warren surged — some establishment Democrats talked about how to stop his momentum. Brock, who has a close relationship with many Democratic donors, said he has not heard anything like that in recent weeks: “That doesn’t mean it won’t happen. This is more of an analysis in the political world than in the donor world.”

Many moderate Democrats still dismiss Sanders’ candidacy. They believe his so-called ceiling remains intact and that Warren will depress any room for growth he might otherwise have.

“He can’t win the nomination,” said Matt Bennett, co-founder of the center-left group Third Way, adding that Sanders’ uptick is simply him “bouncing around between his ceiling and his floor a little bit more than people had thought he would.”

On the other hand, he acknowledged his staying power. “Not until the very end will people say to Bernie Sanders, ‘When are you dropping out?’”

A series of TV segments around last week’s Democratic debate illustrate the shift in how Sanders is being perceived. “We never talk about Bernie Sanders. He is actually doing pretty well in this polling,” former senior Obama adviser David Axelrod said on CNN after the event. “He’s actually picked up. And the fact is Bernie Sanders is as consistent as consistent can be.”

The same day on MSNBC, national political correspondent Steve Kornacki said, “Democratic voters like him, and if he starts winning, there could be a bandwagon effect.” GOP pollster Frank Luntz, who conducted a California focus group that found most participants thought Sanders had won the debate, said on CNBC, “I think you’re going to see continued movement. Sanders has been gaining in California over the past two months.”

Larry Cohen, chairman of the pro-Sanders group Our Revolution, said Warren’s candidacy is not a problem for Sanders if both of them can — together — amass a plurality of delegates heading into the convention.

“The math is that if you think of the voters for Warren and the voters for Sanders as two circles, yes, there is overlap, [but] most of the circles are separate,” Cohen said. “I think between them, we can get to a majority.”

Matt Wuerker cartoon
Matt Wuerker Cartoons Year in Review
BY MATT WUERKER

If Sanders’ candidacy continues to be taken seriously, he will eventually be subjected to the scrutiny that Warren and Biden have faced for prolonged stretches. That includes an examination of his electability. “That conversation has never worked well for anyone,” Pfeiffer said.

Former California Gov. Gray Davis stopped short of saying firm support for "Medicare for All" would be an impediment for Democrats in the primary but suggested the risk for the nominee is significant.

“Californians and Americans, in general, like options — not mandates,” he said.

Faiz Shakir, Sanders’ campaign manager, said political insiders and pundits are rethinking his chances “not out of the goodness of their heart,” but because “it is harder and harder to ignore him when he’s rising in every average that you see.” And he welcomes a conversation about Sanders’ electability, he said.

“We want that,” he said. “I’d love to be able to argue why he stands a better chance to beat Donald Trump than Joe Biden.”

Christopher Cadelago contributed to this report.


THE LAST TIME I READ A SYDNEY EMBER ARTICLE, SHE SAVAGED BERNIE. NOT SO, THIS TIME. STILL, SHE DOESN’T ENDORSE HIM. THE HORSE RACE GOES ON.

Why Bernie Sanders Is Tough to Beat
His supporters are loyal, and in Iowa they don’t really have eyes for anyone else.
By Sydney Ember
Dec. 26, 2019
Updated 1:45 p.m. ET

PHOTOGRAPH -- Senator Bernie Sanders remains near the top of polls in Iowa and other early states. Credit...Jordan Gale for The New York Times

GARNER, Iowa — Dawn Smallfoot put up a Bernie Sanders sign in her yard after hearing him speak in spring 2015. It’s been there ever since.

“Why take it down?” she said on a recent Monday evening, during a break from making calls to potential Sanders supporters. “I was waiting for his return.”

His campaign is counting on that kind of devotion.

With less than six weeks until voting begins, the loyalty Mr. Sanders commands has turned him into a formidable contender in the 2020 race. Despite having a heart attack in October that threatened to derail his second quest for the Democratic nomination, he remains at or near the top of polls in Iowa and other early states, lifted by his near ubiquitous name recognition and an enviable bank account.

His anti-establishment message hasn’t changed for 50 years, and it resonates with working-class voters and young people who agree the system is corrupt and it will take a revolution to fix it.

The scenario seemed unlikely just months earlier. As Mr. Sanders, 78, lay recovering in a hospital in Las Vegas, two new stents in one of his arteries, some of his staff members were unsure if he would continue his campaign. With Mr. Sanders, Vermont’s junior senator, already slumping in the polls, even some allies thought he should drop out and throw his support behind Senator Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts, a fellow progressive who was surging.

But then he secured the coveted endorsement of Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Democrat of New York, giving his campaign a much-needed shot of energy. In the debates, he was steady, loose and largely unscathed. On the trail, he began to display a newfound joy and humor. And Ms. Warren slipped from the top of the field, reopening the progressive lane for him.

Image -- Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at a rally for Mr. Sanders in Las Vegas on Sunday.Credit...Joe Buglewicz for The New York Times

Mr. Sanders’s revival has reshuffled the Democratic primary race, providing a counterweight to the shift toward centrism in recent months that has elevated Mayor Pete Buttigieg of South Bend, Ind., and kept former Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. atop the national polls. And if it lasts, it would add to the likelihood of an extended primary battle, with Mr. Sanders splitting delegates in the early states with several other candidates.

He still faces a difficult path to the nomination. Ms. Warren has siphoned off some of his support, and his entire campaign rests on the conviction that he can pull in voters who might otherwise not show up at the ballot box.

In addition, he has a strained relationship with the Democratic establishment, which remains bitter over the division he and his supporters sowed after the 2016 primaries, and chafes at his refusal to engage with the traditional party apparatus.

Yet in Iowa, and elsewhere, the tension with the party has served only to re-energize Mr. Sanders and his loyalists, who are faithful to him in a way that no other candidates’ supporters are: While backers of other Democrats often list three or four contenders when asked to name their top choice, Mr. Sanders’s fans are unwavering.

A recent poll from The Des Moines Register showed that, among likely Democratic caucusgoers who said Mr. Sanders was their top choice, 57 percent said their minds were made up; according to The Register, no other candidate registered above 30 percent.

Those figures alone could portend a strong showing for Mr. Sanders at the caucuses, where candidates must receive at least 15 percent support at a caucus site to collect that site’s share of state delegates.

“Bernie Sanders is definitely being underestimated in Iowa,” said John Grennan, the Democratic chairman in Poweshiek County, Iowa.

“Part of his durability is that he has 15 to 20 percent of the caucus who are absolutely committed to voting for him no matter what,” he said. “In a field that’s split between at least 10 major candidates, that 15 to 20 percent counts for a whole heck of a lot.”

There are other factors that have helped Mr. Sanders in Iowa. Because his backers are so loyal, opponents have been unable to penetrate his base, if they have tried to at all. Part of the reason is that Mr. Sanders’s strategy revolves around engaging people who typically don’t participate in the political process, a highly difficult group to target; even the Sanders campaign acknowledges it is a risky strategy. Another factor is sheer resignation: His rivals just don’t see the point in trying to pick off supporters who probably won’t budge.

Image -- A crowd awaited Mr. Sanders and Ms. Ocasio-Cortez in Council Bluffs, Iowa, last month. Credit...Amy Kontras for The New York Times

Mr. Sanders has also mostly escaped aggressive attacks from his rivals. Other candidates have focused more on trying to stop Ms. Warren, whom they viewed as a bigger threat. On the airwaves, Mr. Buttigieg, another front-runner, has run television ads that attack Mr. Sanders’s proposals like “Medicare for all” and tuition-free public college but do not name him directly.

Ms. Warren herself has rarely criticized Mr. Sanders. Asked at a recent stop in the blue-collar town of Ottumwa what made her a “better candidate” than Mr. Sanders, she responded tepidly that they had been “friends for a long, long time.”

And though Mr. Sanders’s detractors see a numbing repetition in his message, his supporters see his constancy as one of his biggest assets: Mr. Sanders, for instance, has absorbed much less criticism on Medicare for all because he has championed it for decades. Ms. Warren’s evolving position on how to pay for it has hurt her with some voters.

During a recent rally in Burlington, a town along the Mississippi River in southeastern Iowa, Mr. Sanders played his greatest hits. Standing behind a podium, he railed against income inequality. He trumpeted health care as a human right.

“What this campaign is about is trying to talk about issues, and bring about ideas that address the pain of working families in this country,” he said. The audience nodded along. Many had heard it before. Many had come to hear it again.

“I do like that he has fought for people the same his entire Senate career and even before,” said Angel Edwards, 41, of Burlington. “It makes you hopeful that he won’t flip-flop while in office.”

Since his heart attack, Mr. Sanders has often seemed lighter and more relaxed, a change from the gruff intensity that for years marked his public appearances. His campaign frequently posts videos of him shooting hoops, and he recently took a few pitches of batting practice at an event at an indoor sports facility in Burlington.

At the same time, there is little indication, in Iowa and elsewhere, that Mr. Sanders is attracting more supporters beyond those who backed him in 2016 and young people who were not old enough to vote then. In interviews with dozens of people at his campaign events in recent months, nearly all said their support dated to his first presidential run, or earlier; at events for other candidates, hardly anyone mentions Mr. Sanders as a top choice.

“From my conversations, it appears that people are not ambivalent about Sanders,” said Jeff Fager, the Democratic chairman in Henry County, where Mr. Sanders battled Hillary Clinton to a tie in 2016. “They are either behind him, or he is not on their list of potential candidates.”

Image -- Mr. Sanders continues to gain unwavering support from a young audience.Credit...Jordan Gale for The New York Times

That steady support could be enough in Iowa, whose complex caucus system favors on-the-ground enthusiasm, especially if excitement for other candidates wavers. The challenge, however, is that Mr. Sanders is effectively gambling that those who do not usually vote will now show up on a cold Monday night in February to participate in what could be an hourslong, sometimes disorganized process.

Kurt Meyer, the Democratic chairman in Mitchell County, in northern Iowa, said he saw signs that Mr. Sanders’s organization might have trouble turning out potential caucus attendees in his rural region.

“The Sanders organization in the predominantly rural counties I am most familiar with is not particularly strong,” he said. While he suggested that it might be easy to underestimate the totality of Mr. Sanders’s support, he also said it was far from clear that the voters Mr. Sanders was counting on would show up on caucus day.

Aides to Mr. Sanders provide few details on how they are wooing supporters, but they express confidence that their strategy is working. The campaign said in late October that it already had more commit-to-caucus cards, a loose measure of support, than it did in January 2016.

Just as it did that year, Mr. Sanders’s team is trying to connect with people in new ways. His campaign canvasses at farmers’ markets and outside drugstores. One field organizer, Conrad Bascom, has started holding phone banks at a Casey’s General Store in rural Garner largely because the location was a convenient meeting place and the Wi-Fi was reliable.

“It happened pretty organically,” Mr. Bascom said, during one such phone-bank event in early December. “It very quickly became a habit.”

More on the 2020 Race

The ‘But I Would Vote for Joe Biden’ RepublicansDec. 25, 2019
How Bernie Sanders Learned to Love Campaigning in CaliforniaDec. 24, 2019
Elizabeth Warren Returns to Oklahoma, Stressing Working-Class RootsDec. 23, 2019

Sydney Ember is a political reporter based in New York. She was previously a business reporter covering print and digital media. @melbournecoal



THIS IS AN INTERESTING ARTICLE TO ME, PARTLY BECAUSE IT GIVES TECHNICAL INFORMATION ON HOW TO CAMPAIGN AND WHERE. MORE IMPORTANTLY, IT IS NOT FULL OF UNEXPLAINED JARGON. I DON’T LIKE HAVING TO GO TO THE GOOGLE “URBAN DICTIONARY,” TO DECIPHER AN ARTICLE. FINALLY, IT’S LONG BUT NOT DRY, AND IT ISN’T FULL OF DIGS AGAINST BERNIE. IN FACT, IT SHOWS A DEFINITE RESPECT.  

How Bernie Sanders Learned to Love Campaigning in California
California is the linchpin of Mr. Sanders’s 2020 strategy, a state he hopes will turbocharge his campaign on Super Tuesday — or revive his candidacy if he underperforms in the early states.
By Reid J. Epstein
Dec. 24, 2019

PHOTOGRAPH -- Bernie Sanders made five public appearances in California last week, including a rally in Venice Beach.Credit...September Dawn Bottoms for The New York Times
Reid J. Epstein

LOS ANGELES — Four years ago, Marlene MacAulay experienced her political awakening during Senator Bernie Sanders’s first presidential campaign.

“Last time it was underground,” said Ms. MacAulay, a 68-year-old bookkeeper from Simi Valley, Calif., who is so committed to Mr. Sanders that she named her schnauzer Bernie. In 2016, she said, she joined ad hoc groups of local Sanders supporters that formed on Facebook.

It’s not underground anymore.

California, perhaps more than anywhere else, shows how the Sanders campaign has evolved from a movement of true believers into a strategic machine built to win a presidential nomination. As Mr. Sanders and his advisers look beyond the four early-voting states and toward Super Tuesday on March 3, they are making a big play to accrue as many delegates as possible from California, the biggest prize on the map.

It’s a striking change from what Jeff Weaver, a top Sanders aide, called the “run and gun” operation of 2016. That year, Mr. Sanders hoped to make a last stand against Hillary Clinton in California’s June primary, but took only 46 percent of the vote. His team wasn’t sophisticated enough to focus its efforts where it could claim a disproportionate number of delegates — he carried just eight of California’s 53 congressional districts — allowing Mrs. Clinton to increase her delegate lead and clinch the Democratic presidential nomination.

Now Mr. Sanders, of Vermont, has the most robust California organization in the 2020 field. He has 80 campaign staff members in the state, more than any other candidate. He has spent time wooing the sorts of local officials whom he once derisively cast as part of the dreaded political establishment. And no 2020 candidate has held more public events in California than Mr. Sanders, according to a count maintained by The Sacramento Bee.

California’s decision to move its primary from its 2016 slot, at the end of the nominating calendar, to March 3, three days after South Carolina completes the quartet of early-state nominating contests, means that the Golden State will have more influence than ever in picking a presidential nominee.

Just as South Carolina, with a majority-black Democratic electorate largely loyal to Joseph R. Biden Jr., is a firewall for the former vice president, Mr. Sanders is banking on California — either to resurrect his campaign if he underperforms in the early states or to turbocharge it if he reaches March with momentum.

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IMAGE -- A Sanders crowd at a rally in Moreno Valley, Calif., on Friday. Credit...Alex Welsh for The New York Times

For now, Mr. Sanders is poised to win a large share of California’s delegates. He has placed first or second in five of six public polls of the state dating back to mid-October. People close to the campaign predict he will come in first or second — and more critically, above the 15 percent threshold needed to accrue delegates — in every congressional district.

“We do believe that if we do well in California, which we are primed to do, that the delegate breakout from California can be the moment that you walk toward the nomination,” said Faiz Shakir, Mr. Sanders’s campaign manager.

The contrast between Mr. Sanders’s approach to California and that of his top opponents was stark in the days surrounding last week’s presidential debate at Loyola Marymount University in Los Angeles. Mr. Sanders made the most of his week in the state, appearing at five public events. Senator Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts, Mr. Sanders’s leading left-wing rival, didn’t make any public stops outside of the debate.

Mr. Biden hosted two fund-raisers, posed for photos with striking McDonald’s workers and had lunch with a handful of voters at a Mexican restaurant. And Mayor Pete Buttigieg of South Bend, Ind., appeared at six fund-raisers and a Democratic National Committee gathering in the state before holding a pair of public events on Friday.

One of Mr. Buttigieg’s fund-raisers, at a wine cave in Napa Valley, was mocked by Ms. Warren during the debate and by top Sanders aides, who paraded past reporters in the spin room at Loyola Marymount wearing shirts reading “peteswinecave.com.”

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Mr. Buttigieg spoke to roughly five times more people at the fund-raisers than he did at the public events, according to crowd estimates from pool reporters. (Reporters were not allowed to attend the wine cave event.)

The public events for Mr. Buttigieg were designed to show him being introduced to Latino voters and listening to their concerns. In Walnut, east of Los Angeles, Mr. Buttigieg received a warm introduction from the city’s 26-year-old mayor, Andrew Rodriguez. But Mr. Rodriguez clarified afterward that he hasn’t endorsed Mr. Buttigieg — he’s still thinking about Mr. Biden, too.

“I just relate to Pete because he’s a young mayor,” Mr. Rodriguez said.

Mr. Sanders, who polls show has a clear advantage with Latino voters in the state, stopped at the Mexican border on Friday night before holding a rally on Saturday with Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez of New York that drew 14,000 people to Venice Beach.

“For most candidates, California is a piggy bank,” Mr. Weaver said as crews cleaned up after the rally. Mr. Sanders, he said, “doesn’t just come here and go to the wine cave — sorry, I had to — and then fly out to Iowa. He actually comes here and talks to voters.”

Mr. Sanders and his campaign are also doing the sort of spadework his 2016 campaign didn’t. He has opened offices in heavily Latino regions of the state and is doing the sort of outreach to local elected officials he resisted last time.

Nick Carter, the national political outreach director for the 2016 Sanders campaign, said it was “challenging” to get Mr. Sanders on board back then. “He was giving his time to voters and not just currying favor with politicians,” Mr. Carter said.

One of the officials Mr. Sanders courted this year was Reggie Jones-Sawyer, a state assemblyman from South Los Angeles. Mr. Jones-Sawyer had been an enthusiastic supporter of Mrs. Clinton in 2016 — a Little Rock native, he has deep roots with the Clintons — and had in May endorsed Senator Kamala Harris of California for the 2020 presidential nomination.

In November Mr. Jones-Sawyer took a meeting with Mr. Sanders on the sidelines of the California Democratic Party State Convention. Ms. Harris was still in the race, but struggling. Mr. Sanders made the pitch, and Mr. Jones-Sawyer told Mr. Sanders he was his second choice.

“Before she dropped out, Bernie Sanders was smart enough to come to me, talk to me personally,” Mr. Jones-Sawyer said at the Venice Beach rally, where he delivered one of the warm-up speeches for Ms. Ocasio-Cortez and Mr. Sanders. “Then, all of a sudden, it happened. She wasn’t in. And then, I reread his criminal justice plan and realized, for my district, South L.A., it works great.”

Javier Gonzalez, a Californian who was Mr. Sanders’s deputy field director for Western states in 2016, said the 2020 operation is far more professional. Four years ago the staff members were a combination of operatives the Clinton campaign didn’t want and true believers who had never been involved in politics before, he said.

“I would imagine Bernie had a lot more high-level applicants this time,” Mr. Gonzalez said.

Mr. Weaver, who was Mr. Sanders’s campaign manager in 2016, said the team learned many lessons that year that it is leaning on in this race.

“Having done this before really does matter, right?” Mr. Weaver said. “And there’s mistakes we made last time — I won’t delineate here — that we won’t make again.”

California, with 40 million people, has long been considered impossible to win through campaign organization and tactical spending alone. It’s too big and, with 15 media markets, too expensive to saturate with television advertising — though the billionaire candidates Tom Steyer and Michael R. Bloomberg seem poised to test that proposition this year.

Californians can vote by mail as soon as the day after Iowa’s Feb. 3 caucuses, meaning voters here might be influenced more by the results in the first four states than by any contact they receive from a campaign organizer or ads they see on TV.

That’s why senior California Democrats, who acknowledge Mr. Sanders has the premier presidential team in the state, scoff at the idea that his organization can save him if he performs poorly in the early states.

Image -- Volunteers gathered for training at a Sanders field office in East Los Angeles. Credit...Rozette Rago for The New York Times

“All that momentum that comes out of Iowa and New Hampshire, I think, still is so determinative,” Gov. Gavin Newsom said. “Let me tell you, as someone who’s run multiple times statewide, there’s still no substitute for momentum, still no substitute for generating energy on the nightly news.”

But Mr. Sanders’s investment in California appears to be paying some dividends.

Ms. MacAulay, who is volunteering to knock on doors and make phone calls for Mr. Sanders, said she got several text messages inviting her to attend the Venice Beach rally. “Last time not as many people knew about Bernie,” she said. “It’s more organized now. He taught us how to do it.”

Interviews at the rally revealed that while die-hard fans populated the grassy knolls surrounding the stage, the seating sections up close had a number of people who were new supporters.

Mamak Khadem, a 58-year-old trance music singer from nearby Santa Monica, said she had never voted since becoming a United States citizen three decades ago. But after seeing Mr. Sanders at an event in July, she joined a group of local Iranian-Americans supporting his campaign.

“I never felt connected to any of the candidates running before,” she said. “But everywhere Bernie has been, he’s been so accessible.”



THIS STORY IS ABOUT THE WINNOWING PROCESS AMONG THE DEMOCRATIC HOPEFULS, AS SOME RISE AND OTHERS DROP OUT. SOME OF THEM WERE JUST TOO UNKNOWN AT THIS TIME TO HAVE REGISTERED MUCH ON THE NATIONAL CONSCIOUSNESS; BETO O’ROURKE MADE TOO MANY MISTAKES. I THINK, TOO, THE PUBLIC IS GRADUALLY COMING TO THEIR PERSONAL CONCLUSIONS AND SHOWING LESS INTEREST IN THE REST OF THE CONTENDERS. AS SEVERAL RECENT ARTICLES HAVE SAID, BERNIE’S SUPPORTERS ARE MOSTLY FIRMLY DECIDED ABOUT WHERE THEY STAND.

Bernie Sanders shows staying power
By William Goldschlag
william.goldschlag@newsday.com
December 26, 2019 7:07 PM

PHOTOGRAPH -- Bernie Sanders at his campaign rally Saturday in Venice, Calif. Credit: EPA/Christian Monterrosa

The last progressive standing?

With Elizabeth Warren's slide, Bernie Sanders chances of going the distance in the battle for the Democrats' 2020 presidential nomination are being taken more seriously, Politico writes.

In part, it's because Warren has taken the heaviest flak for her progressive agenda while self-described socialist Sanders has stayed slightly under the radar. Yet Sanders is in second place in national polls, 9 points behind Joe Biden, according to the most recent RealClearPolitics average.

"If you really think about it, Bernie hasn’t been hit a lot with anything. It’s not like he’s getting hit by other campaigns,” said Michael Ceraso, a 2016 Sanders campaign veteran and more recently a former New Hampshire director for Pete Buttigieg.

But that will come when the field narrows and if he's still a part of it. A critical question for Democrats desperate to defeat President Donald Trump is electability.

“That conversation has never worked well for anyone,” said Dan Pfeiffer, who was an adviser to former President Barack Obama. But Faiz Shakir, Sanders’ campaign manager, said he welcomes it. "I’d love to be able to argue why he stands a better chance to beat Donald Trump than Joe Biden," Shakir said.

The biggest losers

Ten Democratic 2020 candidates didn't last until the end of 2019. Some could still have a bright future, become part of a presidential administration if a Democrat wins, or using their moment of semi-fame to help land a cable gig. But others left the race looking the worse for wear, Politico writes.

Topping that list are Beto O'Rourke. His declaration that "Man, I’m just born to be in it” seemed to some a statement of entitlement. His quirky moves like livestreaming his dental work didn't sell. Hard-line positions he took near the end on guns (“Hell, yes, we’re going to take your AR-15") and pledging to revoke the tax-exempt status of religious institutions that oppose same-sex marriage look like they'll take him out of the running in Texas.

Right behind O'Rourke is New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio, whose has long fancied himself a national leader of the progressive movement, convincing hardly anyone to follow him. He has come back to his full-time job even less popular than when he started his four months of barnstorming to noncrowds in primary states.



HERE IS AN ARTICLE FROM OCTOBER SHORTLY AFTER SANDERS’ HEART ATTACK AND REEMERGENCE INTO THE CONTEST. THERE IS A VIDEO ABOUT SEVEN MINUTES LONG EMBEDDED, CALLED “HISTORY IS ON OUR SIDE IN THIS STRUGGLE,” OF BERNIE SPEAKING CLEARLY AND SINCERELY ON THINGS LIKE WHAT HE THOUGHT ABOUT ON THE HOSPITAL BED AFTER HIS HEART ATTACK. HE CERTAINLY HAS OPENED UP QUITE A BIT PERSONALLY SINCE HIS FIRST RUN IN 2016, AND IT IS BETTER THAN ANY ACT HE COULD PUT ON TO CONVINCE PEOPLE TO TRUST HIM FOR A POTENTIAL PRESIDENCY.

Bernie Sanders After Heart Attack: "I Have One Life To Live, What Role Do I Want To Play?"
Posted By Tim Hains
On Date October 10, 2019

In a video posted Thursday on Instagram, Sen. Bernie Sanders said he is recovering well from a minor heart attack last week and promised that he would return to the campaign trail "as soon as possible."

“I am feeling great,” Sanders said. “I’m getting my endurance back and I look forward to getting back on the campaign trail as soon as possible.”

“I am feeling really good and getting stronger every day,” he added. “We’re going to be out there on the campaign trail, we’re gonna be in the debate in Columbus, Ohio next week.

"What happens if somebody had no health insurance who felt a pain in his or her chest or felt really sick and said to themselves, 'Do I really want to go to the doctor or the hospital because I don't have ten thousand dollars to pay for the medical bills I’ll incur?' How many people are in that position? How many people have died because they don’t get to the doctor, the hospital when they should?” Sanders asked.

"It made me feel even more strongly the need to continue our efforts to end this dysfunctional and cruel health care system which leaves so many people uninsured, causes bankruptcy, lowers credit scores," he continued. "It is an insane, wasteful, bureaucratic system based on the greed of the health care industry. So I gotta tell you, that even as I lay down in that hospital bed in Las Vegas, this struggle that we are engaged in just, you know, permeated my mind."

"I know it’s not easy because this campaign, we’re taking on everybody,” Sanders said. “We’re not only taking on Trump and the Republican establishment, we’re not only taking on the Democratic establishment, We’re not only taking on Wall Street, the insurance companies, the drug companies, the fossil fuel industry, the military-industrial complex, the prison industrial complex, the corporate media that so often refuses to deal with the real issues facing this country, that’s what we’re taking on. But at the end of the day, if you’re gonna look at yourself in the mirror, you’re gonna say, look, I go around once, I have one life to live. What role do I want to play?"


COMMENTS

berniesanders's profile picture
berniesanders
Verified
At the end of the day, we have one life to live, and you ask yourself:
What role do I want to play? That role must go deeper than defeating Trump. We must create a country where people are working to take care of each other.
11w

davesmom's profile picture
davesmom
💯 thank you Bernie! 🙌💪💕
10wReply

swystm's profile picture
swystm
God bless YOU
10wReply

jennifaaaxxo's profile picture
jennifaaaxxo
Thank you Bernie!!!🙌🙌🙌
10wReply

yeyita_68's profile picture
yeyita_68
We need you Bernie 🤗🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸
10wReply

hellokittyfan4real's profile picture
hellokittyfan4real
Love you Bernie!!
10wReply

tuberose26's profile picture
tuberose26
We love you ,support and you have our overseas votes from China! 💫
10wReply

adamrandall2549's profile picture
adamrandall2549
🖖🏼✨✅
10wReply

louellenvernonwhite's profile picture
louellenvernonwhite
Thank you for thinking of others at a time when it would be only natural to be self absorbed. Wishing you all the very best in your recovery. Best wishes to your family.🌿🇺🇸🐝
10wReply



PSYCHIATRIST DR. LANCE DODES SLICES AND DICES PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP IN AN MSNBC INTERVIEW. HE IS ONE OF 27 PSYCHIATRISTS WHO CONTRIBUTED TO A BOOK CALLED “THE DANGEROUS CASE OF DONALD TRUMP,” ORIGINALLY PUBLISHED OCTOBER 3, 2017.” ANOTHER RELATED BOOK FROM ALMOST THE SAME DATE, SEPTEMBER 5, 2017, IS “TWILIGHT OF AMERICAN SANITY: A PSYCHIATRIST ANALYZES THE AGE OF TRUMP,” BY ALLEN FRANCES (Author). IT IS AVAILABLE FROM AMAZON. SEE THE DESCRIPTION BELOW.

THE LAST WORD
Psychiatrist: Trump's projection on Chairman Schiff is ‘primitive’
SHARE THIS - COPIED
Psychiatrist Lance Dodes joins Lawrence O'Donnell to discuss Donald Trump’s behavior abroad as the impeachment investigation advances at home. Dr. Dodes says President Trump is "running a really simple program" with "limited capacity" and exemplifying "early emotional development."
Dec. 3, 2019
DURATION 5:53



ON THE BOOK

The Dangerous Case of Donald Trump
Should mental health professionals get involved with diagnosing the president?
Posted Jan 05, 2018
Ilene A. Serlin Ph.D.
Make Your Life a Blessing

The issue is not really about diagnosis; it is about the professional’s ethical duty to warn. It is about a developed expertise in assessing danger to self and other. I highly recommend this courageous new book edited by Dr. Bandy Lee called The Dangerous Case of Donald Trump that compiles chapters written by prominent and articulate psychiatrists and mental health professionals.

PHOTOGRAPH – BOOK COVER, Source: public property

When George W. Bush came into office, I felt a strong sense of dread. I feared that his lack of thoughtfulness and his motivation to war, driven partly by his father issues, pointed to a dangerous situation—as, in fact, the wars in Iraq and Afganistan have turned out to be. I wrote letters to the editor raising the question of danger to self or others, but none were published.

Authors in The Dangerous Case of Donald Trump elaborate on the question of dangerousness by strongly asserting that it is, in fact, an ethical matter of duty to warn. Respecting the Goldwater Rule, or Section 73 of the APA code of ethics, citing the dangers of a malignant society becoming “normalized,” Robert J. Lifton issues a call to action; it is urgent that voices of those who assess danger to self or other must speak up.

Speaking up is, according to Lifton, itself an ethical course of action. He calls this course of action “advocacy research,” that is “combining a disciplined professional approach with the ethical requirements of committed witness, combining scholarship with activism” (Lifton, xviii), what he calls the “activist witnessing professional” (xix). As activist witnessing professionals, we can “bring our experience and knowledge to bear on what threatens and what might renew us.” He makes the point that the public has trust in its mental health professionals they will warn in the case of clear and present danger. And if there are mistakes to be made, they should err on the side of safety.

Herman and Lee take the ethical charge further, asking whether we, as health professionals, are acting in collusion with the state in issues of power, or acting in resistance to them. Herman and Lee consider the duty to warn as a professional responsibility to educate the public. In fact, they know, as professionals, that the situation will become worse as sociopathic and paranoid traits can become amplified over time.

Finally, they uphold as the highest ethical standard: Do no harm. “Therefore, it would be accurate to state that, while we respect the rule, we deem it subordinate to the single most important principle that guides our professional conduct: that we hold our responsibility to human life and well-being as paramount” (p. 12).

They warn: “Collectively with our co-authors, we warn that anyone as mentally unstable as Mr. Trump simply should not be entrusted with the life-and-death powers of the presidency” (p. 8).

The issue of dangerousness

Dangerousness can be assessed without using formal diagnostic categories. Tansey points to Trump’s “attraction to brutal tyrants and also the prospect of nuclear war” (p. 16). Sheehy notes the “pit of fragile self-esteem” that leads to bullying and grandiosity (p. 16). Other terms include these used by Zimbardo and Sword: “condescension, gross exaggeration (lying), jealousy, lack of compassion, and viewing the world through an “us-vs.-them” lens” (p. 26), “childlike need for constant attention” (p. 31). Trump’s delusions and his alternate reality demonstrate a crucial impairment of sanity.

Dangerousness also shows up in our clinical settings, as clients may get triggered by Trump’s resemblance to their abusive fathers, or by his posing existential threats to their ethnic community. Finally, dangerousness can be assessed by the toxic impact on a society: “Trump amplifies and exacerbates a national “symptom” of bigotry and division in ways that are dangerous to the nation’s core principles (p. 18). Mika warns us against the inevitable “downfall” from the “oppression, dehumanization, and violence” of the “toxic triangle” of the “tyrant,” the “his supporters,” and “the society” (p. 19). Zimbardo and Sword describe “the Trump Effect” as the shown by an increase in bullying behaviors, in the schools and between racial and religious groups. In fact, today’s New York Times (17 December 2017), contains an article with a report from the Southern Poverty Law Center showing an increase in events with swastikas, Nazi salutes, and Confederate flags. Given Trump’s access to nuclear power and the power of the United States, Zimbardo and Sword say clearly: "We believe that Donald Trump is the most dangerous man in the world” (p. 47). 

And they very reasonably inquire: If the doctrine of Tarasoff v. Regents of the University of California 17 Cal. 3d 425 (1976) mandates that we warn potential targets of a threat or potential threat toward them, why shouldn’t we have a duty to warn our fellow citizens in the case of Donald Trump?

If people want to get involved, the best person to contact is John Gartner who heads up the Duty to Warn organization. Here is a direct link to John's online petition.

References

Lee, B. (Ed.) (2017). The dangerous case of Donald Trump. New York, NY: St. Martin’s Press.


THIS BOOK IS ABOUT THE THING WHICH HAS ALWAYS BOTHERED ME ABOUT MASS HATRED, WHERE IT COMES FROM.

Twilight of American Sanity: A Psychiatrist Analyzes the Age of Trump Hardcover – September 5, 2017
by Allen Frances  (Author)

“Unravel[s] the national psyche that brought our politics to this moment.” — Evan Osnos, The New Yorker

A landmark book, from “one of the world’s most prominent psychiatrists” (The Atlantic): Allen Frances analyzes the nation, viewing the rise of Donald J. Trump as darkly symptomatic of a deeper societal distress that must be understood if we are to move forward. Equally challenging and profound, Twilight of American Sanity “joins a small shelf of essential titles—Arlie Hochschild’s Strangers in Their Own Land is another—that help explain why and how the Trump presidency happened” (Kirkus).

It is comforting to see President Donald Trump as a crazy man, a one-off, an exception—not a reflection on us or our democracy. But in ways I never anticipated, his rise was absolutely predictable and a mirror on our soul. … What does it say about us, that we elected someone so manifestly unfit and unprepared to determine mankind’s future? Trump is a symptom of a world in distress, not its sole cause. Blaming him for all our troubles misses the deeper, underlying societal sickness that made possible his unlikely ascent. Calling Trump crazy allows us to avoid confronting the craziness in our society—if we want to get sane, we must first gain insight about ourselves. Simply put: Trump isn’t crazy, but our society is. —from TWILIGHT OF AMERICAN SANITY

More than three years in the making: the world's leading expert on psychiatric diagnosis, past leader of the American Psychiatric Association’s DSM (“the bible of psychology”), and author of the influential international bestseller on the medicalization of ordinary life, Saving Normal, draws upon his vast experience to deliver a powerful critique of modern American society’s collective slide away from sanity and offers an urgently needed prescription for reclaiming our bearings. Widely cited in recent months as the man who quite literally wrote the diagnostic criteria for narcissism, Allen Frances, M.D., has been at the center of the debate surrounding President Trump’s mental state—quoted in Evan Osnos’s May 2017 New Yorker article (“How Trump Could Get Fired”) and publishing a much-shared opinion letter in the New York Times (“An Eminent Psychiatrist Demurs on Trump’s Mental State”). Frances argues that Trump is "bad, not mad"--and that the real question to wrestle with is how we as a country could have chosen him as our leader. Twilight of American Sanity is an essential work for understanding our national crisis.



A LIGHT SIDE TO POLITICS IS ALWAYS WELCOME. SOMETIMES AFTER DOING SERIOUS NEWS I GO TO STEPHEN COLBERT, AND IT’S A WELCOME BIT OF HOPE. I DIDN’T KNOW WUERKER’S CARTOONS, BUT I RECOGNIZE THE ARTIST’S STYLE. GO TO THE WEBSITE AND TAKE A LOOK. 

Wuerker Cartoons Year in Review
We look back on a year full of political drama, brouhahas, kerfuffles and malarkey with the best of Matt Wuerker's 2019 cartoons.
By MATT WUERKER 12/23/2019 11:47 AM EST



VIDEOS

NRA collapsing under scandal, criminal investigation
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Rachel Maddow looks at how the once politically powerful NRA is falling apart amid humiliating scandal and infighting and could face being shut down as New York Attorney General Letitia James investigates their finances.
Dec. 24, 2019


DURATION 10:50
Trump's wildest lines of 2019

Regardless of your politics, there's no denying that President Donald Trump is uniquely quotable. In his third year in office, the list of extraordinary things the President has said, or tweeted continued to grow. As 2019 comes to an end, Chris Cillizza breaks down Trump's 25 wildest, most head-scratching lines of the year.
Source: CNN


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